Published: 12:16, August 3, 2020 | Updated: 21:01, June 5, 2023
ADB sees virus slashing global remittances by over US$100b
By Reuters

A woman (center) stands outside a store that provides money transfer services with her husband and their daughter after wiring money to her family in Mexico. In Staten Island, New York, on June 24, 2020. (JOHN MINCHILLO / AP)

MANILA - Remittances across the world could decline by US$108.6 billion this year as job losses mount and employers trim payrolls amid a COVID-19 pandemic that has devastated economies, according to a report by the Asian Development Bank.

Money sent to Asia, where about a third of migrant workers worldwide come from, could fall by US$54.3 billion, or about a fifth of baseline remittances, the Manila-based lender said in the report released on Monday.

The COVID-19 pandemic is expected to hit remittances hard in Asia and the Pacific.

Asian Development Bank's report

Remittances to Asia and the Pacific, which amounted to US$315 billion in 2019, help fuel the consumption-led growth for some of the region’s developing economies, including the Philippines.

“The COVID-19 pandemic is expected to hit remittances hard in Asia and the Pacific,” the ADB report reads.

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The countries facing “more severe” effects are those where the share of remittances to the gross domestic product and per capita remittances are high, such as Tonga, Samoa and other Pacific nations, according to the report.

Georgia, Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan, which send a large number of seasonal and long-term migrants mainly to Russia and Europe, will also be hard-hit, along with Nepal and the Philippines, according to the report.

“The worst-case scenario assumes that the domestic outbreak control and resumption of economic activities take a year’s time,” the report reads. “Uncertainty looms about the timing of full recovery, even as lockdowns are lifted.”

Developing Asia, a group of 45 countries in the Asia-Pacific region, is forecast to clock up its weakest growth in nearly six decades this year, the lender said in its Asian Development Outlook report issued in June.

READ MORE: ADB slashes growth forecast for developing Asia to 0.1% in 2020