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Tuesday, January 22, 2019, 18:02
US' Kamala Harris seeks to make historic 2020 presidential run
By Bloomberg
Tuesday, January 22, 2019, 18:02 By Bloomberg

US Senator from California, Kamala Harris, addresses the media Jan 21 2019 at Howard University in Washington, DC after announcing that she is seeking to become the first African American woman to hold the office of US president, joining an already-crowded field of Democrats lining up to take on Donald Trump. (EVA HAMBACH / AFP)

Senator Kamala Harris of California said Monday she’ll pursue the Democratic presidential nomination in 2020, a decision announced with deliberate symbolism on Martin Luther King Jr Day that cuts to the heart of a potentially history-making candidacy.

Senator Kamala Harris’ likely path to the Democratic nomination runs through black voters, who made up a quarter of the primary electorate in 2016 and were critical to nominating Hillary Clinton

Harris, a daughter of a Jamaican-born father and Indian immigrant mother, would be the first black woman as well as the first Indian-American in the Oval Office. Her message focused on social justice and inclusion is aimed at a diverse Democratic electorate eager for representation, while offering a stark contrast to President Donald Trump’s brand of nostalgic nationalism.

“Truth, justice, decency, equality, freedom, democracy - these aren’t just words. They’re the values we as Americans cherish, and they’re all on the line now,” Harris says in a video released on Monday as she also announced her candidacy on ABC’s “Good Morning America.” “That’s why I’m running for president of the United States. I’m running to lift those voices.”

But she’ll have plenty of rivals, some of whom are better-positioned to appeal to the ascendant economic-populist wing of the Democratic Party.

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Black voters key

Harris’ likely path to the Democratic nomination runs through black voters, who made up a quarter of the primary electorate in 2016 and were critical to nominating Hillary Clinton, as well as to electing Barack Obama in 2008 and 2012.

The backing of African Americans, who dominate the Democratic electorate in early primaries like South Carolina, which is expected to hold its primary in late February 2020, followed by other Southern states in the first half of March, would make her formidable.

Winning her delegate-rich home state of California, which votes relatively early on March 3, compared with its 2016 primary in early June, could make Harris the favorite.

“Kamala Harris has - on paper - the clearest path to the Democratic nomination because of her potential appeal to various elements of the Democratic Party and new prominence of the California party,” said Dan Pfeiffer, a communications strategist for Obama’s 2008 campaign and White House. “Having said that, being best on paper is often not worth the cost of the paper.”

Staffing up

Her first campaign stop will be on Friday in Columbia, South Carolina, a Harris aide said, while revealing some early hires Monday. Her campaign manager will be Juan Rodriguez, who ran her 2016 Senate campaign; her campaign chair will be her sister, Maya Harris; and the communications director will be Lily Adams, who’s been working in her Senate office.

Challenges abound for the 54-year-old first-term senator. She lacks a paper trail on economic issues important to many on the left, leaving her vulnerable to competitors like Senator Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts, whose calls to curb income inequality and Wall Street influence date back decades. Harris’s 13-year record as a district attorney and California’s attorney general has prompted criticism from progressives who argue she wasn’t tough enough on banks, and fought to uphold convictions tainted by exculpatory evidence.

On ABC, Harris highlighted her experience as a prosecutor and said picking between law enforcement and justice is a false choice.

"We have a system of justice that has included systemic racism," she said. "We have a system of justice where a mother and father have to sit their child down, their son down, when he becomes a teenager, and tell him that he may be stopped, he may be arrested, and he could be shot based on the color of his skin."

“The question becomes: what is her economic populist plan and how does that pass the smell test for progressives?” said Symone Sanders, a former spokeswoman for Bernie Sanders’ 2016 campaign. The Vermont senator won over liberals who oppose free-trade deals, favor a larger safety net, and want to crack down on Wall Street.

The Harris campaign unveiled some early policy planks Monday, including a "Medicare for All" health-care system, legislation to give low-income families monthly tax breaks of up to US$500, a refundable tax credit for low-income renters, and a bill co-sponsored with Republican Senator Rand Paul of Kentucky aimed at reducing cash bail. Harris said she’ll reject corporate political action committee money.

Waleed Shahid, a spokesman for the activist group Justice Democrats and a Sanders delegate in 2016, said Harris is “a blank slate” to many voters.

“Right now she hasn’t proven herself to be a class warrior pushing for solutions as big as the scale of our problems,” Shahid said. “It's also likely that her record on criminal justice and banking reform as California AG will continue to plague her if she doesn’t adopt a more aggressive message and propose big progressive solutions.”

Asked on ABC to respond to concerns that she may have a lack of experience for the job, Harris said: "I have the unique experience of having been a leader at the local government, state government and federal government."

Harris may also have California rivals to fend off in Los Angeles Mayor Eric Garcetti and Representative Eric Swalwell, whose district is in the Bay Area, both of whom are considering 2020 runs. And some of her California colleagues may support one of her out-of-state rivals.

Progressive icons

“I’ve been clear that I would support Bernie Sanders or Elizabeth Warren, but I do think she should run,” said Representative Ro Khanna, a fellow Indian-American who represents a district just south of Oakland, where Harris was born.

The Democratic congressman said Harris is “formidable” and “not to be dismissed,” but that Warren and Sanders are “two extraordinary progressive icons, and barring something unforeseen I’m likely to support one of them.”

Harris doesn’t shy away from the term “identity politics,” which she’s described as a cudgel used to marginalize issues like civil rights and immigrant rights. While Trump and his coalition of largely white, often older voters represent a shrinking share of the population, Harris’s hopes in a general election would require stitching together a younger, diverse and more female coalition that’s ascendant in the US but votes less reliably.

Kavanaugh hearing

First elected to the Senate in 2016, she received national attention for her aggressive questioning of Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh in the Senate Judiciary Committee, earning plaudits from the left and criticism from the right.

The Californian’s pro-immigration positions, including an early refusal to compromise on Trump’s border wall, has endeared her to activists prominent in the Latino community. She was the first senator to call on Homeland Security Secretary Kirstjen Nielsen to resign for carrying out Trump’s family separation policy for illegal border-crossings. Immigration activists say she seeks their counsel and describe her as knowledgeable about the issue.

She’s highlighted racial disparities between whites and blacks on maternal mortality and criminal sentencing. Last year, she campaigned for two prominent black politicians: gubernatorial candidate Stacy Abrams in Georgia, and Senate nominee Mike Espy in Mississippi. She may not be the only black candidate in the field, with others like New Jersey Senator Cory Booker also considering a run.

Southern states

“You have to actively compete in the Southern states. You need those black votes. You can’t be the Democratic nominee without them,” Symone Sanders said, adding that the black community’s overwhelming support for Clinton was “definitely a big barrier” between the Bernie Sanders and the 2016 nomination.

“All the black voters in the southern states from Mississippi to Georgia and in between don’t necessarily know who Senator Harris is. Her name ID is not very high,” Sanders said. “So she’s trying to carve out her space,” she said, noting that Harris is trying to strike a balance between speaking pointedly to constituencies like African Americans while highlighting issues -- like cash bail -- that have broad consequences across racial and ethnic lines.

“I think because it’s the year of the woman, she’ll have the ability to lean into that. She is one of the best-positioned candidates of color,” she said. “But she still has to work for it.”

The 2016 presidential election came down to about 80,000 votes in three states -- Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan. If the Democrats’ 2020 nominee can flip those back and hold the states Clinton won, Trump will be a one-term president. There is enormous hunger among Democratic voters to pick a candidate who’s likely to defeat him. For Harris, that means persuading primary voters that she has a winning message on economic issues like trade, which powered Trump in the Midwest.

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The Republican National Committee is paying attention to her.

"Kamala Harris is arguably the least vetted Democrat running for president, but it’s already clear how unqualified and out-of-touch she is," RNC spokesman Michael Ahrens said in a statement Monday, arguing that "all she has to show for her brief time in the Senate is a radically liberal voting record."

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