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Wednesday, February 27, 2019, 10:28
Trump, Kim bet big on personal relationship at second summit
By Reuters
Wednesday, February 27, 2019, 10:28 By Reuters

This combo photo shows the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK)'s leader Kim Jong-un, left, and US President Donald Trump in Vietnam, Feb 26, 2019. Trump and Kim are to meet on Feb 27. (PHOTOS / AP)

HANOI — US President Donald Trump and the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK) leader Kim Jong-un will meet on Wednesday for their second summit, betting that their personal relationship can break a stalemate over DPRK's nuclear weapons and end more than 70 years of hostility. 

Despite little progress toward his stated goal of ridding the DPRK of its nuclear weapons since first meeting Kim in Singapore last year, Trump has said he is fully committed to his personal diplomacy with Kim. 

Trump said late last year he and Kim "fell in love", and on the eve of his departure for the second summit said they had developed "a very, very good relationship". 

Trump has said he is fully committed to his personal diplomacy with Kim. On the eve of his departure for the second summit, he said they had developed "a very, very good relationship" 

Whether the bonhomie can move them beyond summit pageantry to substantive progress on eliminating Pyongyang's nuclear arsenal that threatens the United States is the question that will dominate their talks in the Vietnamese capital of Hanoi

"This relationship is the biggest single driving force in crafting better relations," said Harry J. Kazianis, director of Korea Studies, Center for the National Interest. 

"Clearly, there needs to be a more solid foundation for dialogue than Kim and Trump. No two people alone have broad enough shoulders to take on the weight of such challenging issues spread out over 70 years." 

Trump will meet Kim for a brief one-on-one conversation on Wednesday evening, followed by a dinner, accompanied by two guests and interpreters, White House spokeswoman Sarah Sanders told reporters on Air Force One. 

They will hold "a series of back and forth" meetings on Thursday, she said. 

In Singapore, they pledged to work toward denuclearization and permanent peace on the Korean peninsula. The DPRK and the Republic of Korea (ROK) have been technically still at war since their 1950-53 conflict, with the Americans backing the ROK, ended in a truce, not a treaty. 

The Singapore meeting - the first between a sitting US president and a DPRK leader - ended with great fanfare but little substance over how to dismantle DPRK's nuclear weapons and ballistic missiles. 

In this Feb 26, 2019 photo provided by the DPRK government, DPRK leader Kim Jong-un, second left, receives reports on the meetings between US and DPRK special envoys ahead of the second summit between Kim and US President Donald Trump at the Melia Hotel in Hanoi, Vietnam. (KOREAN CENTRAL NEWS AGENCY / KOREA NEWS SERVICE VIA AP)

Both sides are likely to feel pressure to agree on specific measures this time - what concrete steps the DPRK will take to give up weapons that threaten the US mainland, and what the United States will offer in return. 

ALSO READ: Major US-DPRK interactions since Singapore summit

Many analysts believe the DPRK won't commit to significant disarmament unless punishing US-led economic sanctions are eased. 

Trump has held out the prospect of easing them if the DPRK does something "meaningful". 

HUMAN RIGHTS 

Any deal will face scrutiny from American lawmakers and others sceptical that the DPRK is really willing to give up the cherished weapons it has long seen as its guarantee of national security, amid worry a compromise could undermine US regional interests. 

This relationship is the biggest single driving force in crafting better relations.

Harry J. Kazianis, Director of Korea Studies, Center for the National Interest, US

US intelligence officials have said there is no sign Kim will ever give up his entire arsenal, and UN investigators say human rights have not improved in the DPRK. 

Trump scoffs at the doubters. 

He has hailed the Singapore summit as a "tremendous success", citing a freeze in DPRK's nuclear and missile tests since late 2017, and has said the United States would have gone to war with the DPRK if he had not been president. 

Whatever the outcome, the summit should boost Kim's bid to end his country's pariah status and cement his place on the world stage. 

As the young, third-generation leader of one of the world's most impoverished and isolated nations, living under punishing sanctions, Kim will again stand as an equal to the president of the world's most powerful country. 

For Trump, a deal that eases DPRK's threat could hand him a big foreign-policy achievement in the midst of domestic troubles. 

While Trump is in Hanoi, his former personal lawyer Michael Cohen is testifying before US congressional committees, with the president's business practices the main focus. 

US President Donald Trump walks off Air Force One at the Noi Bai International Airport on arrival, in Hanoi, Vietnam, Feb 26, 2019. (SUSAN WALSH / AP)

Anticipation has also been rising about the impending release of Special Counsel Robert Mueller's report on Russian interference in the 2016 US election, though a senior US Justice Department official said on Friday it would not come this week. 

ROK President Moon Jae-in said last year Trump deserved the Nobel Peace Prize. This month, Trump said Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe nominated him for it because "they feel safe" after he initiated talks and eased tension. 

CONCESSIONS? 

In the run-up to the second summit, Trump has indicated a more flexible stance, saying he is in no rush to secure DPRK's denuclearization. 

The two sides have discussed specific and verifiable denuclearization measures, such as allowing inspectors to observe the dismantlement of DPRK's Yongbyon nuclear reactor, US and ROK officials say. 

US concessions could include opening liaison offices or declaring an end to the technical state of war, they say. 

Kazianis said a political declaration that ended the war would be a win for both sides. 

"Nothing could test Kim's intentions more than setting a new course in ... relations and in the best way possible prove America is no threat to his regime," he said. 

Vietnam, relishing its role as mediator, could serve as a model for the DPRK as it seeks a path out of isolation. 

Vietnam normalized ties with old battlefield foe the United States in 1995 after decades of Cold War mistrust, and its "doi moi" reforms transformed it into one of Asia's fastest-growing economies. 

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